About
About This Report
Guide to the Report
Report Credits
Companion Podcast
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Chapters
About this Report
Guide to this Report
OVERVIEW
Physical Science
2. Climate Trends
3. Earth Systems Processes
National Topics
4. Water
5. Energy
6. Land
7. Forests
8. Ecosystems
9. Coasts
10. Oceans
11. Agriculture
12. Built Environment
13. Transportation
14. Air Quality
15. Human Health
16. Indigenous Peoples
17. International
18. Complex Systems
19. Economics
20. Social Systems and Justice
Regions
21. Northeast
22. Southeast
23. US Caribbean
24. Midwest
25. Northern Great Plains
26. Southern Great Plains
27. Northwest
28. Southwest
29. Alaska
30. Hawai'i and US-Affiliated Pacific Islands
Responses
31. Adaptation
32. Mitigation
Focus On
F1. Compound Events
F2. Western Wildfires
F3. COVID-19 and Climate Change
F4. Risks to Supply Chains
F5. Blue Carbon
Appendices
A1. Process
A2. Information Quality
A3. Scenarios and Datasets
A4. Indicators
A5. Glossary
All Figures
All Key Messages
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Art × Climate
NCA Atlas
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Fifth National Climate Assessment
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Overview
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Report in Brief
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Chapter Downloads
Front Matter
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1: Overview
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2: Climate Trends
3: Earth Systems Processes
4: Water
5: Energy Supply, Delivery, and Demand
6: Land Cover and Land-Use Change
7: Forests
8: Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services, and Biodiversity
9: Coastal Effects
10: Ocean Ecosystems and Marine Resources
11: Agriculture, Food Systems, and Rural Communities
12: Built Environment, Urban Systems, and Cities
13: Transportation
14: Air Quality
15: Human Health
16: Tribes and Indigenous Peoples
17: Climate Effects on US International Interests
18: Sector Interactions, Multiple Stressors, and Complex Systems
19: Economics
20: Social Systems and Justice
21: Northeast
22: Southeast
23: US Caribbean
24: Midwest
25: Northern Great Plains
26: Southern Great Plains
27: Northwest
28: Southwest
29: Alaska
30: Hawai'i and US-Affiliated Pacific Islands
31: Adaptation
32: Mitigation
Focus On
F1: Compound Events
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F2: Western Wildfires
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F3: COVID-19 and Climate Change
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F4: Risks to Supply Chains
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F5: Blue Carbon
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Appendices
A1: Assessment Development Process
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A2: Information Quality
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A3: Scenarios and Datasets
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A4: Indicators
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A5: Glossary
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Public Reviews
Public Comments and Author Responses for the Zero Order Draft
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Public Comments and Author Responses for the Third Order Draft
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Review by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
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Narrative Response to the Academies Review
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Author Responses to National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
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Other Materials
Information Quality Guidance
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Implementation of Federal Guidelines and Best Practices for Highly Influential Scientific Assessments in the Fifth National Climate Assessment
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Information Quality Act Certification
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Selection Process for Downscaled Climate Projection Data in the Fifth National Climate Assessment
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Errata
Errata
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Likelihood
Virtually Certain
Very Likely
Likely
As Likely as Not
Unlikely
Very Unikely
Exceptionally Unlikely
99%–100%
90%–100%
66%–100%
33%–66%
0%–33%
0%–10%
0%–1%
Confidence Level
Very High
High
Medium
Low
Strong evidence (established theory, multiple sources, well-documented and accepted methods, etc.)
High consensus
Moderate evidence (several sources, some consistency, methods vary and/or documentation limited, etc.)
Medium consensus
Suggestive evidence (a few sources, limited consistency, methods emerging, etc.)
Competing schools of thought
Inconclusive evidence (limited sources, extrapolations, inconsistent findings, poor documentation and/or methods not tested, etc.)
Disagreement or lack of opinions among experts
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